Using a combination of the average 1 minute candle size, standard deviation of a 1 minute candle size, and volatility, our calculator simulates the given number of days of price action of the underlying, and calculates the likelihood that the price of the underlying hits the given strike price.
Results:
Conservative Win Rate Estimate (One Touch of Strike Counts as "Loss")
Number of times expiring worthless (WINS): 0
Number of times hitting strike price (LOSSES): 0
Total win rate: 0%
Aggressive Win Rate Estimate (Only Expiry at Or Beyond Strike Counts as "Loss")
Number of times expiring worthless (WINS): 0
Number of times hitting strike price (LOSSES): 0
Total win rate: 0%
Average win rate between conservative and aggressive: 0%
Chart of simulated trade(s) with 30 minute candlesticks: